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Posts on this website are general "tips" and nothing more than that and should never be used to make an investment or trading decision. All information should be carefully cross-checked against official sources for accuracy.

Silver: The Perfect Alternative to Gold?

September 8th, 2011

http://resourceinvestingnews.com/21890-silver-the-perfect-alternative-to-gold.html

Is silver - an industrial metal or a precious one?

September 2nd, 2011

ONE of the questions investors have to ask themselves is, What is silver - an industrial metal or a precious one?

Possibly for the first time in the existence of the metal, the two may co-exist on relatively equal footing - which is why silver stocks are so appealing to investors at present.

This means news from explorers is now getting more attention. Read today’s article by Robin Bromby

ASX Companies with silver resources

Gold and Silver and QE3

September 2nd, 2011

Yesterday I had a roast duck lunch with Alex Papas a good Forex and general broker with long term (40 years) experience. His team includes a long term gold and resources broker. Below is my interpretation of how our conversation could be summarized ….

We discussed the effects of QE3. Essentially QE3 will further debase the US$’s value.

This will be a positive for gold, silver and many other commodities. It will also cause a rise in our AU$. This will most likely be good for our Australian commodity exporters but not so great for our industrials etc. (history will repeat)

His take was that it might be a good time, in ~ two weeks time, to start buying silver as he sees it as being cheap around the US$41 mark. He sees silver as being cheap because of the gold : silver ratio.

He also suggested that the gold bull will be done when the Dow = the gold price in US$. This last happened around ~1980…

The chart “Gold Market Price - Dow/Gold Relative Ratio” and the accompanying text (below in yellow) is quite interesting and seems to suggest that gold can either double from here or the Dow could halve. The trend seems to indicate the former.

Dow/Gold Relative Ratio

When we take the Dow Jones and divide it by the price of Gold we get an analysis tool called the Dow/Gold Ratio, which is comparing the markets directly and we can see which market is outperforming the other market. When the blue line heads higher, the Dow Jones is performing better, when the blue line heads lower, gold is performing better. In the short term this may not be so clear, but in the long term it can describe a very clear story.

You will notice that Dow Jones is generally outperforming the price of gold. Very approximate conclusion could be that every 20 years of Dow Jones outperforming the price of gold (shaded in light blue) is followed by around 10 years of gold outperforming the Dow Index (shaded in light orange).

Average historical Dow/Gold ratio is 10:13. This means that based on historical average it takes 10 ounces of gold to buy one share of the Dow Jones index.

At the moment (05-29-2010) currently Dow/Gold ratio is 9.46, which is already below historical average.
Will the gold market price stop rising at this point?
It could, but even more probable is that it will grow a bit more, so that Dow/Gold ratio will touch historical support at around 5, before the cycle will turn around again. Read the full article at http://www.stocks-for-beginners.com/gold-market-price.html

The other major consideration is that Obama will push every button possible to avoid being a one term president and hence QE3 in some form or another seems inevitable.

Comparison of asset classes

August 20th, 2011

Over the last 11 years

comparison-of-asset-classes

silver-11years

gold-11years

RMS up 300% profit year on year.

August 3rd, 2011

Quick update: RMS has continued its stellar performance and has upped their year on year profit by 300%.

The Directors of Ramelius Resources Limited (ASX: “RMS”) are pleased to advise that the Company’s profit for the full year to 30 June 2011 is expected to be substantially higher than the previous corresponding period.

Unaudited consolidated total Profit before Income Tax for the year ended 30 June 2011 is expected to be approximately $90m, compared to a consolidated total Profit before Income Tax of $28.7m reported for the previous financial year.

The expected pre‐tax profit is based on gross gold sales revenue of $147.6m arising from gold production in excess of 100,000 ounces milled during the year from the Company’s 100% owned Wattle Dam underground gold mine located in the Eastern Goldfields of Western Australia.The increase in profitability was driven by increased production from Wattle Dam and improved A$ gold prices.

Ramelius Managing Director, Ian Gordon, said, “this exceptional result is a reflection of the quality of the Wattle Dam orebody which has not only delivered excellent grades but is also likely to be mined well into the future as we continue to delineate extensions to the resource at depth”.

Ramelius advises that the above profit guidance for the year to 30 June 2011 is only approximate, based on internal draft management accounts and is subject to completion of the 2010‐11 financial report and audit.

RMS: ASX a golden handfull

Alacer Gold (AQG) WilsonHTM buy.

July 27th, 2011

Nice to see one of our most respected broking/research houses putting a buy onto AQG. WilsonHTM seem to be impressed with the cash cost of US$542 per oz.

Personally I’m impressed with the growth in resources and the further upside. It isn’t far fetched to think AQG will be in our top 4 gold producers before long. (Displacing RSG and EAU) - time will tell.

Australian Gold Producers

Alacer Gold second quarter results

July 25th, 2011

Alacer Gold Announces Second Quarter Operating Results

Alacer continues its upwards momentum and is rapidly becoming a major gold producer with a pleasing production cost. Being under a year old Alacer isn’t yet on Australian investors radars and few brokers seem to be knowledgeable about its current position and prospects.

“Alacer Gold Corp. was formed following the successful merger of Anatolia Minerals Development, a TSX listed company and Avoca Resources Limited, Australia’s third largest ASX listed gold producer. The merger was completed on February 18, 2011.”

Today’s announcement substantially upgrades the previous estimates of : “Through the merger, Alacer Gold has emerged as a leading global intermediate gold producer and explorer with a globally diversified asset portfolio in Australia and Turkey. Alacer Gold is forecasting gold production of 600,000 ounces of gold in CY2013, with an expected increase to 800,000 ounces in CY2015 and current gold reserves of 3.5 million ounces and gold resources approaching 15 million ounces.”

I hold Alacer.

Cudeco’s Mt Wilgar a new type of gold deposit

July 25th, 2011

Today’s (25th July 2011) ASX announcement presents some rather startling results and shows the discovery of a new type of Gold deposit for Australia: A Tellurium - Gold mix. The gold grades are in the “bonanza” zone and the tellerium grades are very high at up to 3,500ppm. (The crustal abundance of tellurium is 1/500th of the rarest of the REEs).

wilgar-te-au-ag

US owes ~ 340,000 tonnes of gold

July 21st, 2011

“The US now only owes the equivalent of 340,000 tonnes of gold – still more than the total sum of gold ever mined (twice as much, in fact, according to best estimates) and way above the 8,113.5 tonnes the United States Treasury says it holds between Fort Knox and the New York Fed.”

Ramelius Rams 100,000 oz per annum barrier

July 7th, 2011

Ramelius Resources has wrapped up the financial year with production of more than 100,000 ounces from its Wattle Dam gold mine, one of the country’s lowest-cost precious metals operations, and flagged the imminent start of operations at its Mt Magnet project. http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/business/a/-/wa/9798784/ramelius-confounds-sceptics-with-strong-production/

See multiple posts about RMS by Sparty